Home Prices Expected to Hit Bottom by 2013
Prices in Dacula rebound slightly in May after hitting low of $142,000 in March.
The housing market may finally be nearing a bottom according to a recent Zillow survey.
The June 2012 survey shows experts predict home prices will decline only slightly in 2012 and begin to rebound in 2013.
In Dacula, home prices have fallen 0.6 percent in the past year to an average home sale price of $143,600 in May. That number is slightly higher than the March 1, 2012 low of $142,000.
The individual economists surveyed were “largely in agreement on the trajectory of home prices nationally, signaling that a true bottom may be imminent,” the survey reported.
There was, however, some bad news as well.
A majority of respondents expect the U.S. home ownership rate to fall below the current rate of 65.4 percent. One in five respondents believe the home ownership rate may fall as low as 63 percent. The lowest rate on record -- set in 1965 -- is 62.9 percent.
"It's good to start to see some convergence of expectations among economists, as it lends further support to the claim that a bottom is real," said Zillow Chief Economist Stan Humphries in a released statement. "However, the fact that more than half of respondents believe that the home ownership rate will fall lower should be a sobering reminder that significant challenges remain ahead for the housing market, from negative equity to millions of foreclosed homeowners who now have impaired credit, making a return to home ownership harder than it would be otherwise."
Though housing prices are expected to rebound, the pace of recovery will be slow experts warn.
"In June 2010, the average cumulative appreciation in U.S. home prices expected by our panel was 10.3 percent for the years 2012 through 2014. Now, two years later, the average prediction among our experts for the same period is just 3.5 percent," said Terry Loebs, founder of Pulsenomics in a press release. "This translates into $1.25 trillion less housing wealth than expected nationally over the coming three years."
Tim Sullivan
4:38 pm on Tuesday, June 26, 2012
While it may not sound like good news the following really is. ""In June 2010, the average cumulative appreciation in U.S. home prices expected by our panel was 10.3 percent for the years 2012 through 2014. Now, two years later, the average prediction among our experts for the same period is just 3.5 percent,"
Outside of a bubble created by unnatural demand home prices have traditionally risen with inflation. In a normal housing market there is no great amount of money to be had. Yes you could sell your 100,000 house after 10 or 15 years and get 200,000. What most folks miss it (A) in that time frame everything has probably doubled, or at least rizzen to a point very close to 100%. That 200,000 will not get you what was a 200,000 house 15 years ago it will get you the same house you just sold. You did not have a 100,000 dollar windfall.
Now in our current world we have very little to no inflation seeing home prices increase by 3.5% indicates a rise in demand that is pushing prices higher than normal inflation. This is a good sign all around.
American Patriot
5:28 pm on Tuesday, June 26, 2012
No inflation? When was the last time you went to the grocery store?
jameszparker
6:49 am on Wednesday, June 27, 2012
Despite low mortgage rates, refinancing activity has been slow and experts believe consumers seem to be ignoring rate reductions because they don’t feel like they’ll qualify for good deals, for them a place to check is 123 Refinance online