It looks like we'll finally get some rain back in the picture for the start of the work week. Computer models are forecasting a low pressure system to develop in the northern Gulf of Mexico and potentially bring 2-3" of rain over the north Georgia area on Monday and Tuesday.
Later today we'll start to see an easterly flow of moisture off of the Atlantic that will provide showers in southeast-east Georgia. By tomorrow, the flow will be from the southeast as the high pressure system that has kept us sunny and dry for the last week shifts off into the Atlantic, and we'll start to see our chances for rain increasing ahead of an approaching shortwave due to orographic lifting of the air mass.
Our best chances for rain will come on Monday and Tuesday as the low pressure that will form in the Gulf will move NE and bring with it very good chances for rain. Isentropic lift will cause warm moist air to override the cooler air at the surface and provide showers and thundershowers late Sunday into Monday morning. The cooler air at the surface will finally begin to leave on Monday and bands of thundershowers and embedded thunderstorms will rotate through our area during the day on Monday and Tuesday.
Do you like fall weather? Get ready... after the rain moves out of our area late Tuesday, temperatures take a tumble with models showing highs in the 70s and lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s for the next several days.
We still need the rain as the drought monitor still shows us in an extreme to exceptional drought area. We would need 9-12" of rainfall (last image on the drought monitor page) to break the drought that we're in and we're not going to be getting that kind of rainfall anytime soon.
So enjoy the nice weather for today and tomorrow before the rain returns, followed by cooler, drier fall like weather.